This article will try to answer the question if a regions Brexit vote determines adherence to lock-down. In very simple terms this means if a region has voted for Brexit with a higher percentage does show more mobility.
This article sets out to analyse Mobility and Covid-19 case numbers, or in more detail, the effect of changes in mobility between different sub-regions of the UK on these sub-regions’ Covid-19 case loads.
There is a lot of discussion about mortality rates, population factors, population density and health systems around in this coronavirus, Covid-19 pandemic. Doubtlessly some are contributing factors but are they on they exclusively so? Their is a certain fallacy of some simple arguments why countries differ in this pandemic. That they differ is obviously not under question but why they differ is a very complex matter, on which doubtlessly many billions will be spent over the coming decades going to the best connected academics in each country.
One can use two data sets to analyse this data, the cumulative data set and the daily reports, not cumulative. The inherent problem with Benford’s law in an ongoing pandemic is WHEN do you take the analysis. The results of the Benford’s analysis can change daily.
I used to travel quite often with DFDS from Newcastle (North Shields) to Amsterdam (Ijmuiden) when I was a business analyst and partner in a company in Germany. As such I spent many nights on the North Sea on DFDS ships and saw many of the ships and ATons, Wind farms.