Tag Archives: Corona virus

Coronavirus Covid-19: A brief look at who is detected in the Apple and Google Mobility Reports

Introduction

As many people know, Google and Apple have published mobility data to help with beating the Covid-19 pandemic.

Google Covid-19 Mobility data is obviously Android users and Apple Coronavirus/Covid-19  mobility data  IOS  users. So  the data is in that sense determined by the type of personality that uses each OS and how they care about privacy.
Continue reading Coronavirus Covid-19: A brief look at who is detected in the Apple and Google Mobility Reports

Coronavirus Covid-19: Brexit vote determines adherence to lock-down

Introduction

This article will try to answer the question if a regions Brexit vote determines adherence to lock-down. In very simple terms this means if a region has voted for Brexit with a higher percentage does  show more mobility.

Many scientific studies have looked at Brexit.  Reasons listed are:
Sovereignty
Immigration
Age of voters
Education level
Order vs openness
The “left behind”
Britons felt less integrated into the EU
Identity and Change
English national identity
Anti-establishment populism

Since all this research classifies the “classic Brexit voter” as an old, low educated, xenophobic, anti-establishment, English nationalist populist, it would be interesting if these people show a different behaviour to younger, higher educated, inclusive, establishment friendly non English nationalist reasonable voters. Please see the ecological fallacy and Robinson’s paradox.
Continue reading Coronavirus Covid-19: Brexit vote determines adherence to lock-down

Coronavirus Covid-19: Mobility and Cases, why shopping is more dangerous than going to work.

Introduction to Mobility and Covid-19

This article sets out to analyse Mobility and Covid-19 case numbers, or in more detail, the effect of changes in mobility between different sub-regions of the UK on these  sub-regions’ Covid-19 case loads.

The Coronavirus pandemic has led to many countries introducing lock-downs and restrictions on movements of citizens to reduce interactions between people, so that the SARS-COV-2 virus can not spread. In the United Kingdom this lock-down started on March 23, 2020. This led to a decline in mobility in many regions. Measuring movements on a large scale like this is impossible for single individuals or small companies.
Continue reading Coronavirus Covid-19: Mobility and Cases, why shopping is more dangerous than going to work.

Coronavirus Covid-19: What can Benford’s Law tell us about the truthfulness of the reported numbers

Introduction

This article will discuss if there are any rational arguments to distrust any numbers given during the corona virus crisis by individual countries based on Benford’s law.

China is often accused that it forges or manipulates it’s data. That there are possible millions of undetected cases. There are even scientific papers about this (1). But no one seems to look at how other countries fare by this standard. Hence we will have a look at how China’s reporting fares if compared with 6 European countries and the USA via the Newcomb–Benford law.

One can use two data sets to analyse this data, the cumulative data set and the daily reports, not cumulative. The inherent problem with Benford’s law in an ongoing pandemic is WHEN do you take the analysis. The results of the Benford’s analysis can change daily. 

Continue reading Coronavirus Covid-19: What can Benford’s Law tell us about the truthfulness of the reported numbers